Working papers

The Parental Investment Rat Race: College Admissions Tournament and Household Welfare New Draft, September 2026

How much of a household’s educational investment is driven by competition rather than direct human-capital returns? I develop and estimate a dynamic tournament model of admissions competition embedding skill formation, where households choose tutoring expenditure, tutoring hours, and selfstudy hours. Competition drives 77% of tutoring expenditure during secondary school, and 89% in the final year, holding direct returns to human capital fixed. Less than half of self-study time is competition-driven. Although both investments erode non-cognitive skills, tournament and cognitive returns outweigh these costs. Policies targeting educational investment directly improve mobility at a substantial welfare cost, while admissions reforms can achieve mobility gains at a smaller welfare cost.

This paper supersedes earlier versions circulated as "Dynamic Competition in Parental Investment and Child's Efforts" and "Parental Investment, Child's Efforts, and Intergenerational Mobility."

Recognition KAEA Best Job Market Paper Award (2022); Award for Excellence in Research (Dissertation Award), Stony Brook University (2023).

Presented at Hitotsubashi University, Stone Center at U Chicago, GRIPS, Toulouse Economics of Education Workshop, University of Southampton, SOLE, SEHO, Kansai Labor, Yokohama National University, Korea University, Mannheim Family Economics Workshop, UNSW, ANU, Kyoto University, IAAE, University of Gothenburg, Missouri University of Science & Technology, KDI, KIEP, KLI, SEA, DSE Summer School, AASLE, SBU Game Theory, and WEAI.

Compensation vs. Reinforcement: Experimental Identification of Parental Aversion to Inequality in Offspring [NBER Working Paper version] with Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Leonardo Bonilla, Matías Busso, Sebastián Galiani, Juan Muñoz, and Juan Pantano, June 2026

Parents may invest differently across children by compensating the disadvantaged child or by reinforcing the child with higher expected returns. We study this question using a conditional cash transfer experiment that uniquely randomized transfers at the student level, generating exogenous variation in transfer exposure across siblings within the same household. The transfers increased short-run attendance among treated students but generated negative spillovers on untreated siblings: untreated siblings of treated students were 3.7 percentage points less likely to graduate from college, a decline of about 30 percent relative to the control mean. We interpret these effects using a dynamic model of household schooling decisions that identifies parental aversion to inequality in children's educational outcomes. The estimated model implies limited aversion to inequality in children's educational outcomes and reproduces held-out treatment effects not used in estimation. A decomposition shows that the negative spillover is primarily driven by substitution in educational investments toward the treated child.

Presented at Seoul National University, Aoyama Gakuin University, Australian National University, University of Technology Sydney, Korea University, Kyoto University, ISER at Osaka University, the Labor Economics Workshop at the University of Tokyo, AASLE 2023, SOLE/AASLE/EALE 2025, the Sejong Applied Micro Workshop, and the Econometric Society World Congress. Coauthors' presentations are not included.

A One-Sided Wald Test for Positive Assortative Mating with Steven Stern, April 2026

We develop a one-sided Wald test for positive assortative mating (PAM) that tests the null hypothesis of random matching against the alternative of PAM. By framing the problem as testing equality constraints against inequality constraints, our test statistic follows a chi-bar-squared distribution under the null. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the test performs well under weak assortative mating and moderate sample sizes. Empirical applications using CPS data confirm that our method effectively detects PAM on predicted wages.

Publications

Mitigating School Closures: Parental Responses and Tutoring Vouchers with TaeYoung Kang and Sunham Kim, May 2026
Accepted, Journal of Applied Econometrics

We investigate how reduced in-person school days affect educational inequality through parental responses. Exploiting quasi-experimental variation in school-level in-person days and a linked administrative–survey panel, we find that each ten-day loss increases household tutoring expenditure by 4 percent and within-school test-score dispersion by 25 percent. We build and estimate a household choice model in which formal schooling and tutoring jointly generate test scores. Estimates suggest that tutoring substitutes for in-person days and that closures burden low-income households disproportionately. Counterfactual simulations show that a means-tested tutoring-voucher program matches the overall inequality reduction of a universal scheme while cutting costs by 20 percent.

Media coverage The Kyunghyang Shinmun.

Work in progress

The Relationship Between Spouses' Wages Over Time

with Steven Stern · major revision in progress

When Boys and Girls Mingle: Impact on Gender Polarization, Marriage, Fertility, and the Division of Household Chores

with Yarine Fawaz and Daniel Fernández-Kranz

College Slots and the Demand for Private Tutoring

with Changhui Kang

The Intergenerational Production of Human Capital: Accounting for Multiple Investment Channels (Tentative title)

with Mikael Lindahl and Andrew Proctor